ComposableTuringIDModels.jl

Assemble infectious disease models from interchangeable, composable parts as a single Turing model.

The package that ties the ecosystem together. Instead of writing one monolithic model, you assemble a model from interchangeable infection and observation parts — each infection model owning its own latent process — and ComposableTuringIDModels.jl turns the assembly into a single Turing model you can simulate from and fit.

Every part becomes a Turing / DynamicPPL model through one as_turing_model constructor, so parts nest freely as submodels and the full inference toolbox (NUTS, Pathfinder, prior simulation) applies. Swap the latent process, infection process, or observation model on its own to test how each assumption shapes your conclusions.

It ships a library of interchangeable parts: random-walk and AR/MA/ARIMA latent processes, renewal and exponential-growth infection models, ODE (SIR/SEIR) processes, Poisson and negative-binomial observations, reporting delays, ascertainment, and aggregation.

Install

Experimental — install from GitHub while the API settles:

using Pkg
Pkg.add(url = "https://github.com/EpiAware/ComposableTuringIDModels.jl")

Links

• Documentation ↗
• GitHub · Discussions